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	<title>South Jerusalem &#187; Olmert</title>
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	<link>http://southjerusalem.com</link>
	<description>A Progressive, Skeptical Blog on Israel, Judaism, Culture, Politics, and Literature</description>
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		<title>Obama in Israel: Political Implications</title>
		<link>http://southjerusalem.com/2008/07/obama-in-israel-political-implications/</link>
		<comments>http://southjerusalem.com/2008/07/obama-in-israel-political-implications/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jul 2008 16:00:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gershom Gorenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ehud Barak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hamas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Netanyahu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olmert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sderot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terror]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tzipi Livni]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southjerusalem.com/?p=247</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gershom Gorenberg Obama stopped through for two nights and a day, as if he were writing one of the New York Times travel pieces about how to spend 36 hours in some locale. At first glance, the trip was purely about photo-ops, gathering footage for later campaign ads that will air in south Florida. But [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Gershom Gorenberg" href="http://southjerusalem.com/gershom-gorenberg/" target="_blank"><strong>Gershom Gorenberg</strong></a></p>
<p>Obama stopped through for two nights and a day, as if he were writing one of the New York Times travel pieces about how to spend 36 hours in some locale. At first glance, the trip was purely about photo-ops, gathering footage for later campaign ads that will air in south Florida. But there were some hints of real political content, as I explain in <a title="36 Hours in Israel (With Barack Obama)" href="http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=36_hours_in_israel_with_barack_obama" target="_blank">my new article</a> at The American Prospect. Here&#8217;s one piece:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Hamas Walks It Back:</strong> On Wednesday morning, Israel Radio reported responses to Obama&#8217;s arrival, including this one: &#8220;A Hamas spokesman said, &#8216;The American senator is trying to reach the White House via Tel Aviv, at the expense of the Palestinians.&#8217;&#8221;</p>
<p><span id="more-247"></span>The immediate meaning of that comment is that John McCain best stop arguing that Hamas has endorsed Obama. In April, McCain leapt on a <a href="http://tinyurl.com/6jvz7f">report</a> that Hamas political adviser Ahmed Yousef had said &#8220;actually we like Mr. Obama, and we hope that he will win.&#8221; McCain&#8217;s campaign also used the quote in a <a href="http://tinyurl.com/6agnsd">fundraising appeal</a>. Even if the initial report was accurate, Obama has since succeeded in changing Hamas&#8217;s mind.</p>
<p>The slightly deeper significance of the spokesman&#8217;s criticism is that Hamas, typically for a hardline group, thinks in zero-sum terms. Perhaps believing Obama&#8217;s domestic critics, Hamas originally thought he had a low commitment to Israel, and was therefore pro-Palestinian. McCain was happy to use Hamas as character witness. Now the movement has see-sawed the opposite way: Obama is pro-Israel, and thus bad for Palestinians.</p>
<p>But in promising a new diplomatic direction, Obama is arguing that Israeli-Palestinian peace is win-win. Even the more pragmatic elements in Hamas don&#8217;t yet speak this language. So Hamas is no character witness, for or against Obama. McCain&#8217;s real error was treating the organization&#8217;s judgment as relevant.</p></blockquote>
<p>Read the full article, with more political subtexts of Obamania in Israel, <a href="http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=36_hours_in_israel_with_barack_obama">here</a>.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>How the Bush Administration Pursues Peace</title>
		<link>http://southjerusalem.com/2008/04/how-the-bush-administration-pursues-peace/</link>
		<comments>http://southjerusalem.com/2008/04/how-the-bush-administration-pursues-peace/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 12:34:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gershom Gorenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alon Liel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Assad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olmert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peace and Reconciliation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southjerusalem.com/?p=115</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ha&#8217;aretz reports today on the latest leaks about the potential for Syrian-Israeli talks, and then hoses down the sparks of hopes with these paragraphs: Following contacts between Israel and Syria, officials say significant U.S. involvement will probably be necessary for negotiations to move ahead, and that Syria is still demanding such involvement. Both Israeli and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ha&#8217;aretz <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/977682.html" target="_blank">reports</a> today on the latest leaks about the potential for Syrian-Israeli talks, and then hoses down the sparks of hopes with these paragraphs:</p>
<blockquote><p>Following contacts between Israel and Syria, officials say significant U.S. involvement will probably be necessary for negotiations to move ahead, and that Syria is still demanding such involvement.</p>
<p>Both Israeli and foreign experts on Syria told Haaretz on Wednesday that a change in the American position was not on the horizon&#8230;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-96"></span> In short, Olmert may be ready to make the grand trade; Assad wants to dicker; and Washington refuses to remove its veto.</p>
<p>According to Alon Liel, the former director-general of the Foreign Ministry, who conducted <a href="http://www.hadassah.org/news/page.asp?size=50&amp;header=per_had&amp;page=per_hadassah/archive.html" target="_blank">back channel negotiations</a> with Syria, Damascus understands that the price of a deal is dropping its alliance with Iran and Hizballah and realigning with the West. Cutting such a deal, it appears, will have to wait for a new US president &#8211; one who is willing to take an entirely new approach to the Mideast. Here&#8217;s a clue: It won&#8217;t help if his initials are JM.</p>
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